Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.001638 0.001745 0.001856 0.001980 0.002114 0.002254 0.002413
2025-01-12 0.001448 0.001596 0.001755 0.001939 0.002147 0.002376 0.002648
2025-01-19 0.001328 0.001501 0.001692 0.001922 0.002191 0.002497 0.002874
2025-01-26 0.001202 0.001384 0.001592 0.001847 0.002154 0.002514 0.002972
2025-02-02 0.001165 0.001366 0.001601 0.001896 0.002261 0.002701 0.003276
2025-02-09 0.001126 0.001342 0.001599 0.001929 0.002345 0.002860 0.003553
2025-02-16 0.001117 0.001352 0.001636 0.002008 0.002490 0.003101 0.003945
2025-02-23 0.001072 0.001314 0.001612 0.002008 0.002532 0.003208 0.004166
2025-03-02 0.001006 0.001246 0.001545 0.001949 0.002491 0.003204 0.004233
2025-03-09 0.000955 0.001194 0.001496 0.001911 0.002474 0.003228 0.004338
2025-03-16 0.000923 0.001165 0.001475 0.001907 0.002503 0.003314 0.004533
2025-03-23 0.000882 0.001124 0.001436 0.001876 0.002493 0.003346 0.004649
2025-03-30 0.000844 0.001087 0.001405 0.001861 0.002509 0.003424 0.004855
2025-04-06 0.000802 0.001043 0.001362 0.001826 0.002497 0.003462 0.005003
2025-04-13 0.000769 0.001010 0.001334 0.001811 0.002513 0.003540 0.005217
2025-04-20 0.000721 0.000954 0.001270 0.001741 0.002444 0.003487 0.005222
2025-04-27 0.000714 0.000955 0.001286 0.001787 0.002548 0.003703 0.005670
2025-05-04 0.000702 0.000949 0.001291 0.001817 0.002630 0.003886 0.006079
2025-05-11 0.000704 0.000962 0.001325 0.001891 0.002783 0.004192 0.006718
2025-05-18 0.000685 0.000943 0.001311 0.001891 0.002819 0.004309 0.007038
2025-05-25 0.000651 0.000902 0.001263 0.001836 0.002763 0.004273 0.007079
2025-06-01 0.000625 0.000871 0.001227 0.001800 0.002736 0.004281 0.007202
2025-06-08 0.000608 0.000854 0.001213 0.001797 0.002762 0.004381 0.007500